There's a moment in every revolution when you stop predicting it and start pointing at it.
For urban cycling in London, that moment is now.
The City of London Corporation recently released data showing that 139,000 people cycled through the Square Mile in a single day — a 50% increase from 2022, and the biggest jump since records began in 1999. During peak commuting hours, cyclists now make up 56% of all traffic on City streets. There are nearly twice as many bikes as cars during the day.
Let that sink in for a second. In one of the most car-dominated, financially powerful square miles on the planet — twice as many bikes as cars.

How Did We Get Here?
It didn't happen overnight. The groundwork was laid during the pandemic, when empty streets gave people the confidence to get on a bike for the first time, and city planners the political cover to redesign road space. Protected cycleways expanded. Dockless bikes arrived and stuck around. A generation of commuters who discovered cycling out of necessity realised they actually preferred it.
Since 2017, cycling in the City has increased by 70%. The original target was 50% by 2030. They've blown past it six years early.
Over the same period, motor traffic has fallen by 34% — again ahead of schedule. Freight traffic is down 21% against a target of 15% by 2030. The city isn't just getting more cyclists. It's getting fewer cars, fewer vans, fewer lorries. Those things together create a compounding effect: safer streets attract more cyclists, more cyclists justify more infrastructure, better infrastructure attracts more cyclists still.
The Bigger London Picture
The Square Mile data doesn't exist in isolation. Transport for London reported a 26% increase in cycling journeys across Greater London since 2019, with central London up 12% since 2023 alone. TfL has been investing heavily in its Cycleway network — in 2023/24 alone, 20 new Cycleway routes launched, connecting an additional 600,000 Londoners to the cycling network.
To put the infrastructure expansion in context: London had around 90km of Cycleways in 2016. By 2025 that figure had grown to over 400km — longer than the entire London Underground network.
These aren't just painted lines on roads. The better Cycleways — CS6 through Waterloo and the City, for example, or the East-West Cycle Superhighway along the Embankment — are fully segregated from motor traffic, with their own signal phases at junctions. They feel safe. And feeling safe is the single biggest barrier to cycling uptake, particularly for women and older riders.

The Dockless Factor
One of the more surprising details in the City data is the role of dockless bikes. They've quadrupled since 2022 and now account for one in six bikes on City streets.
This matters because dockless users aren't the traditional cycling demographic. They're not serious cyclists in lycra with carefully specced commuter bikes and route knowledge built up over years. They're people who decided, on a given morning, that a bike was simply the easiest way to get from A to B. Lime reported a 74% increase in trips during London's tube strikes in 2025 — with those trips going 35% further than usual.
That's a fundamentally different and arguably more significant shift. Cycling as default rather than lifestyle choice. Cycling as infrastructure rather than identity.
How Does London Compare Globally?
Here's where things get humbling. Despite all this progress, not a single UK city made the top 30 of the 2025 Copenhagenize Index — the definitive global ranking of cycling-friendly cities. Utrecht took the top spot, a city where nearly a third of all trips are made by bike and where a fully car-free district housing 12,000 people is currently under construction. Paris came fifth, having built over 50 fifteen-minute city zones under Mayor Anne Hidalgo.
The gap between London and the true cycling cities of northern Europe remains significant. Utrecht spends €63 per person per year on cycling infrastructure. London's investment, while growing, remains inconsistent across boroughs — a patchwork of ambition rather than a coherent network.
The lesson from Utrecht, Copenhagen and Paris isn't complicated: consistent political will, sustained financial investment and genuinely protected infrastructure produces results. Every time, without exception.
The Safety Question
Progress on numbers means little if people are still getting hurt. According to the Department for Transport, 87 cyclists were killed on British roads in 2023, with nearly 4,000 seriously injured. The most common cause of fatal or serious collisions remains the same depressing answer it has been for decades: driver or rider failed to look properly.
London's Vision Zero programme — the commitment to eliminate all deaths and serious injuries from the road network — has made meaningful progress in the capital, but progress is slow and the human cost of the gaps in the network remains real. Every stretch of road without a protected lane is a gamble that most people, quite rationally, aren't willing to take.
This is why the infrastructure investment matters beyond the headline numbers. Cycling rates and safety rates move together. The cities with the most cyclists have the lowest rates of cycling casualties per mile ridden — because there's safety in numbers, and because the infrastructure that attracts numbers also protects them.
What Comes Next?
The honest answer is: more of the same, accelerating — at least in London.
Active Travel England, the government body set up in 2022 to drive walking and cycling investment nationally, is expanding its remit. In July 2025 it launched an initiative placing primary school children as junior active travel inspectors, tasked with reviewing local walking and cycling routes alongside parents and teachers. It's a small thing on paper. Culturally it's significant — normalising cycling as something children assess, advocate for and grow up expecting.
Outside London the picture is more mixed. Cities like Bristol, Manchester and Edinburgh have cycling ambitions but face the familiar barriers: funding gaps, political resistance, road space fights. The national cycling and walking investment strategy needs teeth as much as it needs targets.
But London is proving something important. When you build it — really build it, with separation and signal phases and a network that joins up — they come. In numbers that surprise even the people doing the counting.
The Velorution Isn't Coming. It's Already Here.
For those of us who've believed in the bicycle as the world's greatest mode of urban transport for years, there's something quietly satisfying about watching the data catch up with the conviction.
139,000 people. One day. One square mile.
Twice as many bikes as cars.
The revolution isn't coming. It's already here.
Sources: City of London Corporation — Transport for London — Copenhagenize Index 2025 — Institution of Civil Engineers — Department for Transport

1 comment
What a heart warming e mail.
Living in Amsterdam, you realise that God gave us the most fantastic form of transport that also keeps us healthy, physically & mentally.
No matter what weather , the Dutch are wedded to their transport & often you’ll see a whole family in their cargo bikes which are plentiful & of a huge variety.
When you live in such a place , often if you google a destination it’ll be as quick, if not quicker by bike, not to mention the sky high prices for parking a car , which also keeps people focused on their bikes. The Brompton & its ease on trains , trams & airplanes has made my travels back to home (UK) & other countries smooth & simple.
Wishing you all best for the future of Velorution.
Regards
Ian Pearce.